November 8 2024
By Chaerin Lee
On November 5, the U.S. presidential election concluded with a win for Republican candidate Donald Trump, signaling a potential shift in American policies that could notably affect South Korea as well as the global community. Trump’s administration is expected to diverge significantly from the policies of President Biden’s term, sparking questions about the international impact.
During his previous tenure, Trump suggested that if South Korea did not adequately contribute to defense costs, he might consider reducing or withdrawing U.S. military forces stationed in the country. Once again, Trump may leverage this issue in an attempt to negotiate a higher defense cost-sharing agreement. Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, observed, “It is highly likely that President Trump will press the South Korean government to increase its contributions for U.S. troops stationed there,” but he also noted that “a withdrawal of troops is more likely a strategic bluff and unlikely to be fully enacted.” Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Mark Esper echoed similar concerns in a 2022 interview, indicating that should Trump return to office, a more aggressive stance on cost-sharing negotiations could resurface.
In response, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol announced plans to convene an emergency meeting on November 10 to assess the implications of Trump’s return for South Korea’s economy and security. At the meeting, officials are expected to analyze possible policy changes from the incoming Trump administration and consider proactive strategies. Given the far-reaching consequences of Trump’s policies for South Korea, close monitoring and preparation for future developments will be essential.